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:	post by JayTUS at 2005-01-21 08:19:50

Nel is right, Steelers fans (and players for that matter) act so cocky about that October 31st game, when in reality, just look at these five very important numbers:

Steelers time of posession: 42 minutes
Patriots time of posession: 18 minutes
Patriots turnovers in the first quarter: 3
Points caused by turnovers in first quarter: 21
Final score: 34-20

Erase that first quarter, the Pats win the game. I've already said it, but Corey Dillon keeps the Steelers offense off the field. I'm not going to sit here and say he's going to average 4.5 yards a carry against an outstanding Steelers defense, but if he has 28-33 carries, then the Patriots probably win. That simple.

All they need to do to win is get into the Red zone. The Pats have the second most profiecent Red zone offense in the NFL. The Steelers have the best defense (statistically) in the NFL, but their Red zone defense is ranked ninth. So basically what that says is that all the scoring on the Steelers is done in the red zone. They don't give up big plays. That's good, because the Patriots aren't a "big play" team, a la the St. Louis "high flying" Rams and Indianapolis Colts.

The anticipation for this game is so high, haha. I'm so sick of disecting it and analyzing it over and over again, I just want the damn thing to start!!

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