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:	post by Converge241 at 2005-01-21 09:52:00

i dont think patriots are a walkover at all..of course im being a wahoo and overdoing it on my pick but it is one i believe in strongly

if the oct 31st game wasnt on the schedule or whatever i would say the same thing i.e that the steelers would win

after all i had no precedent when i said steelers would win that game when making bets/talking with friends and co-workers before the game (and BEFORE dillon was declared out and BEFORE Ty and Light got hurt)

just said steelers would run the ball and the blitz would get to brady and i thought it was "due" for the streak to end..of course they all thought "not possible" , and im not just a blind faith guy cause i did pick eagles to win the next week in the pick em league and what not

i will agree to disagree but i think you know your football (even if the feeling aint mutual haha)

i just think the running game and the blitzes will win the game again regardless of who is hurt and who isnt

if the pats want to beat the steelers they should defensively play the same game and confuse roeth with lots of different looks and different people blitzing and keep playing the zone. offensively the short passes should bring some succes for them (the pats) and they should keep trying the 5 wr formation because steelers do not have guys that can cover..if brady can get just a few quick passes off before the blitz hits on those 5 wides that should reap some rewards

i dont think dillon will be a big factor..call me an idiot all you want but he will not have a big day..im sure he will get tough yards and key plays here and there

as far as the steelers side on keys to winning..i think cowher and roethlisberger get too much credit this year for the success (think the main cred should go to lebeau and russ grimm and the respective players executing for them of course) but those 2 learned things from the looks the patriots gave them before..they are going to pound the ball relentlessley the patriots have gotten better against the run after a scary start but they still have problems pitt has 4 guys who can run the ball and will get them all in the mix..Ben will improve from last week and make better decisions..in no way will he come out and win this game but he will be a usefull factor and randle el and tuman are underrated guys who will step up and make some key grabs

as far as non-stats stuff im a big believer in jinxes, mojo, streaks, luck etc etc i know its stupid but i dont care and im scared of a few things

the symmetry of the steelers ending a long pats streak and now the steelers are on that long streak (reminds me of the 31-0 buffalo symmetry last year)
brady never losing a playoff game
steelers "recent" history in AFC title games
patriots history against bettis in playoffs
a rookie qb never playign in the superbowl

so there is a lot of stuff on pats side IMO

and the winner is going to have to earn every moment of this win

in the end though i think it will be the steelers who make the pats "put their teeth on the curb" and then stomp

will be a close game though official prediction steelers 20-16

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